The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Étoile Carouge 31.5%
Draw 25.3%
Winterthur 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
26.2%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
26%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Étoile Carouge's form might have worsened.
Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Winterthur's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Étoile Carouge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Winterthur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Étoile Carouge - Winterthur Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Diallo M. (G) 78. Boulkous N. 4. Strohbach I. 24. Dubosson M. 33. Zuka L. 8. Ricardo Alves 14. Camara S. 10. Caslei B. (C) 76. Itaitinga 77. Escorza T. 88. Essiena L.
1. Kuster M. (G) 27. Rohner F. 33. Citherlet T. 16. Arnold R. (C) 4. Camara S. 44. Cueni S. 45. Jankewitz A. 8. Golliard T. 20. Marchesano A. 37. Maluvunu E. 68. Beyer B.
Substitutes
26. Bossiwa S. 5. Cespedes B. 7. Correia O. 6. El Jaouhari M. 3. Hoxha F. 23. Huwiler L. (G) 80. Januario E. 2. Neves D. 22. Zrankeon G.
30. Brogli N. (G) 9. Buess R. 18. Diaby S. 70. Foro G. 17. Maksutaj L. 21. Ottiger S. 26. Sahitaj L. 22. Turkes A.
Coaches
Nogueira P.
Rahmen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Rohner F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Golliard T. ⚽, Beyer B. (A),
58', Camara S. 🟨,
62', Essiena L. ↓, Bossiwa S. ↑,
69', Marchesano A. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
69', Ricardo Alves ↓, Cespedes B. ↑,
69', Caslei B. ↓, Correia O. ↑,
81', Zuka L. ↓, Hoxha F. ↑,
81', Boulkous N. ↓, El Jaouhari M. ↑,
82', Maluvunu E. ↓, Diaby S. ↑,
82', Beyer B. ↓, Buess R. ↑,
82', Rohner F. ↓, Turkes A. ↑,
90+3', Camara S. ↓, Maksutaj L. ↑,
90+4', Turkes A. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 3).
Étoile has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Winterthur is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Étoile: Caslei B.
(Inactive)
Christin B.
(Injury)
Felder V.
(Inactive)
Kadima R.
(Injury)
Tsoungui M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Winterthur: Burkart N.
(Muscle Injury)
Essiam E.
(Muscle Injury)
Spagnoli A.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Étoile: Cespedes B.
(Inactive)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Étoile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Including home match between the teams, Étoile won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Winterthur
9
5
3
1
19:8
11
18
8
Etoile-Carouge
9
2
3
4
8:12
-4
9
Last Results with these Odds
Étoile Carouge - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.92%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Diallo M. (G) 
Boulkous N. 
Camara S. 
Itaitinga 
Escorza T. 
Kuster M. (G) 
Cueni S. 
Cespedes B. 
Hoxha F. 
Neves D. 
Turkes A. 
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