Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 10

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday


	Lautaro de Buin		Deportes Puerto Montt

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.7	1.65
	5	4	1.55
	3.74	3.68	1.79
	4.27	3.34	1.78
	5	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↓ (5.07)	3.74 ↓ (3.84)	1.66 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro de Buin
20.6%

Draw
24.4%

Deportes Puerto Montt
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

24.1%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

24.2%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro de Buin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro de Buin than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Vasquez J. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Fernandez K. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Rodriguez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 2).

Lautaro de Buin is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Puerto Montt is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Puerto Montt is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro de Buin
Chilean Segunda Division
28.04.24	General Velásquez - Lautaro de Buin	6:2 ✺
21.04.24	Provincial Osorno - Lautaro de Buin	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Lautaro de Buin - Trasandino de Los Andes	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Deportes Rengo - Lautaro de Buin	2:3 ✺
01.04.24	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Linares	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL
- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Segunda Division
28.04.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Provincial Osorno	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Rengo	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Deportes Linares - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Concepción	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLTT

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