The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Puerto Montt 46.1%
Draw 27.8%
Deportes Concepción 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
28.3%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
28.7%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Puerto Montt's performance.
Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-12.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Puerto Montt that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Concepción Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ureta L. (G) 27. Mancilla D. 2. Morales A. 4. Riveros M. (C) 15. Egana K. 18. Sabella A. 14. Cardenas J. 23. Castillo G. 30. Negrete S. 11. Castro R. 8. Paredes R.
12. Veloso Espinoza N. (G) 3. Carrasco D. 11. Vejar B. 19. Jara A. 29. Varas D. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 10. Valencia Rossel L. 28. Gonzalez M. 40. Caceres F. 31. Fuentes N. 9. Escobar C. (C)
Substitutes
20. Bahamonde D. 5. Calisto F. 22. Jaime J. 12. Mancilla A. (G) 38. Naguil Y. 17. Nieto B. 28. Perez S. 35. Rojas L. A. 19. Taiva B.
1. Cesar (G) 39. Escobar B. 17. Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 2. Ramirez M. 26. Romero L. 34. Toro C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Cardenas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Caceres F. ↓, Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Negrete S. ⚽,
57', Fuentes N. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Castro R. ⚽, Paredes R. (A),
63', Sabella A. ↓, Nieto B. ↑,
64', Vejar B. 🟨,
67', Riveros M. 🟨,
67', Escobar C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
74', Negrete S. ↓, Naguil Y. ↑,
74', Valencia Rossel L. ↓, Escobar B. ↑,
79', Castro R. ↓, Taiva B. ↑,
79', Paredes R. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
81', Romero L. 🟨,
85', Varas D. ↓, Carrillo T. ↑,
85', Fuentes N. ↓, Bordon M. ↑,
90+7', Jara A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
Preview
Puerto Montt is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportes Concepción has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Puerto Montt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Puerto Montt won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
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Ureta L. (G) 
Morales A. 
Castro R. 
Cesar (G) 
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