Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 8

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Provincial Osorno		Lautaro de Buin

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.25	3.5
	1.9	3.4	3.6
	1.91	3.52	3.54
	1.92	3.52	3.54
	1.8	3.3	3.7
	1.89	3.45	3.84	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.79)	3.41 ↓ (3.77)	3.62 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Provincial Osorno
48.2%

Draw
26.7%

Lautaro de Buin
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

24.5%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Provincial Osorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Lautaro de Buin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provincial Osorno than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro de Buin than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Namoncura S. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 10).

Recent matches Provincial Osorno is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lautaro de Buin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lautaro de Buin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Provincial Osorno is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Provincial Osorno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Provincial Osorno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Provincial Osorno
Chilean Segunda Division
15.04.24	San Antonio Unido - Provincial Osorno	3:2 ✺
06.04.24	Provincial Osorno - Concón National	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Provincial Ovalle - Provincial Osorno	4:2 ✺
23.03.24	Provincial Osorno - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	General Velásquez - Provincial Osorno	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW
- Lautaro de Buin
Chilean Segunda Division
14.04.24	Lautaro de Buin - Trasandino de Los Andes	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Deportes Rengo - Lautaro de Buin	2:3 ✺
01.04.24	Lautaro de Buin - Deportes Linares	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Real San Joaquín - Lautaro de Buin	1:0 ✺
18.03.24	Lautaro de Buin - San Antonio Unido	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
15.10.23	Provincial Osorno - Lautaro de Buin	1:1
03.06.23	Lautaro de Buin - Provincial Osorno	2:0

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