Match Info

Date: 24 February 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Lavagnese		Arconatese

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.7
	2.5	3.45	2.4
	2.32	3.2	2.75
	2.39	3.38	2.89
	2.35	3.1	2.75
	2.41	3.1	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.12)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	2.73 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavagnese
38.3%

Draw
28.2%

Arconatese
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

20%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavagnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Arconatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lavagnese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arconatese than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arconatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lavagnese - Arconatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13).

Lavagnese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arconatese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lavagnese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lavagnese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lavagnese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Lavagnese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.02.21	Casale - Lavagnese	3:0 ✺
14.02.21	Lavagnese - Unione Sanremo	0:1 ✺
07.02.21	Lavagnese - Fossano	2:1 ✺
03.02.21	Vado - Lavagnese	4:2 ✺
31.01.21	Lavagnese - Folgore Caratese	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- GS Arconatese
Italian Serie D - Group A
21.02.21	Unione Sanremo - Arconatese	1:1 ✺
14.02.21	Arconatese - Legnano	2:0 ✺
10.02.21	Saluzzo - Arconatese	0:1 ✺
07.02.21	Arconatese - Vado	2:1 ✺
03.02.21	Casale - Arconatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
07.10.20	Arconatese - Lavagnese	0:0
10.02.19	Lavagnese - Arconatese	0:1
21.10.18	Arconatese - Lavagnese	2:1

Lavagnese - Arconatese

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Lavagnese - Arconatese Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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