Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Casale		Lavagnese

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	4.8
	1.53	3.55	5.71
	1.7	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.58)	3.45 ↓ (3.8)	5.17 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casale
56.3%

Draw
26.2%

Lavagnese
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

15.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lavagnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casale than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lavagnese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Casale won 2.

Recent matches Casale is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lavagnese is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Casale is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Casale won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Casale won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casale
Italian Serie D - Group A
09.03.22	Casale - Asti	0:0 ✺
06.03.22	PDHAE - Casale	0:0 ✺
02.03.22	Ligorna - Casale	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Casale - Saluzzo	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Casale - Caronnese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTTTW
- USD Lavagnese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
06.03.22	Lavagnese - Unione Sanremo	1:1 ✺
27.02.22	Vado - Lavagnese	3:0 ✺
20.02.22	Lavagnese - Sestri Levante	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Ticino - Lavagnese	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Lavagnese - Ligorna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
31.10.21	Lavagnese - Casale	0:1
21.02.21	Casale - Lavagnese	3:0
28.10.20	Lavagnese - Casale	2:1
12.01.20	Lavagnese - Casale	1:0
08.09.19	Casale - Lavagnese	0:0
03.03.19	Casale - Lavagnese	1:1
11.11.18	Lavagnese - Casale	1:1

Casale - Lavagnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide