Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Lavagnese		Imperia

	1	X	2
	2.52	3	2.58
	2.6	3.16	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3.04	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.35)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	2.54 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lavagnese
35.1%

Draw
29.4%

Imperia
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lavagnese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Imperia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imperia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Lavagnese - Imperia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lavagnese won 2.

Recent form of Lavagnese has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Imperia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Imperia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lavagnese won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lavagnese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Imperia	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Lavagnese 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
28.02.26	Sestri Levante - Lavagnese	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Lavagnese - Derthona	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Saluzzo - Lavagnese	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Lavagnese - Unione Sanremo	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Celle Varazze - Lavagnese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTLL
- ASD Imperia
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.03.26	Imperia - Chisola	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Gozzano - Imperia	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Imperia - Valenzana Mado	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Ligorna - Imperia	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Imperia - Vado	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
02.11.25	Imperia - Lavagnese	1:2
09.03.25	Imperia - Lavagnese	0:2
02.11.24	Lavagnese - Imperia	0:1
02.02.22	Lavagnese - Imperia	2:2
26.09.21	Imperia - Lavagnese	4:0
20.01.21	Lavagnese - Imperia	2:0

Lavagnese - Imperia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide