Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Imperia		Vado

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.35	1.75
	4.35	3.43	1.75	Watch
	4.54	3.34	1.72
	4.2	3.25	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (4.15)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imperia
21.1%

Draw
27.2%

Vado
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.9%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

26.4%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imperia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imperia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Imperia - Vado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Ciccone N. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Bresciani N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 1 - 2, Alfiero V. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, Vindigni A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Imperia won 0.

In recent matches, Imperia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vado is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Vado is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Imperia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Imperia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Imperia	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Imperia
Italian Serie D - Group A
25.01.26	Sestri Levante - Imperia	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Imperia - Club Milano	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Imperia - Saluzzo	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Varese - Imperia	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Celle Varazze - Imperia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWTT
- FC Vado
Italian Serie D - Group A
25.01.26	Vado - Celle Varazze	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Derthona - Vado	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Vado - Asti	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Unione Sanremo - Vado	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Biellese - Vado	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
28.09.25	Vado - Imperia	3:1
23.02.25	Imperia - Vado	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie D
06.11.24	Imperia - Vado	0:1 penalties
Italian Serie D - Group A
23.10.24	Vado - Imperia	2:1
10.04.22	Vado - Imperia	3:2
28.11.21	Imperia - Vado	0:1
05.05.21	Vado - Imperia	1:1

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