Match Info
Serie D - Group A - Round 25Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Lavagnese |
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Derthona |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.78 |
3.15 |
2.3 |
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2.22 |
3.05 |
3.17 |
 Watch |
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2.25 |
2.75 |
3.1 |
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2.2 |
2.96 |
3.24 |
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2.84 |
3.2 |
2.34 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.81) |
3.02 ↓
(3.18) |
2.83 ↑
(2.32) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lavagnese
37.3% | Draw
30.3% | Derthona
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lavagnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derthona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavagnese than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derthona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Lavagnese - Derthona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Tocila A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lavagnese won 1.Both teams are struggling and far from their best. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lavagnese won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.6:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Lavagnese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Derthona FbC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Derthona - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.12%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group A | | | 19.10.25 | Derthona - Lavagnese | 1:1 | | 12.01.25 | Lavagnese - Derthona | 0:3 | | 15.09.24 | Derthona - Lavagnese | 2:2 | | 04.02.24 | Derthona - Lavagnese | 1:4 | | 10.04.22 | Derthona - Lavagnese | 0:0 | | 28.11.21 | Lavagnese - Derthona | 1:2 | | 04.05.21 | Lavagnese - Derthona | 3:4 |
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