Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 5

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Mirko Fersini (Rome)

Referee: Di Mario L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Lazio		Napoli

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	4.35
	1.68	4.01	4.38
	1.45	4.54	6.02	Watch
	1.63	3.74	4.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.45)	4.02 ↓ (4.54)	4.82 ↓ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
57.9%

Draw
23%

Napoli
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.5%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

21%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lazio's form might have worsened.

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lazio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Lazio - Napoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Durante F. (G) 77. Cafferata F. 27. D'Auria F. 2. Baltrip-Reyes C. 17. Monnecchi M. 16. Castiello A. 25. Goldoni E. 13. Oliviero E. 99. Visentin N. 9. Karczewska N. 18. Piemonte M.	1. Beretta B. (G) 67. Giordano M. 16. Jusjong M. 2. Brooks C. 32. Vergani B. 19. Sciabica M. 13. Muth N. R. 23. Bellucci M. 7. Barker H. M. 20. Troan M. 11. Floe Nielsen C.
Substitutes
22. Ashworth-Clifford L. 10. Benoit A. 1. Karresmaa K. (G) 11. Le Bihan C. 4. Mancuso G. 8. Martin E. 6. Mesjasz M.	42. Bacic D. (G) 17. Carcassi A. 24. D'Angelo A. 22. Doucoure M. 9. Gianfico M. M. 30. Hornschuch S. (G) 8. Kozak K. 90. Langella G. 21. Penzo T. 44. Pettenuzzo T. 4. Sliskovic G. 25. Vanmechelen D.
Coaches
Grassadonia G.	Sassarini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Troan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Vergani B. 🟨,
64', Vergani B. ↓, Pettenuzzo T. ↑,
65', Barker H. M. ↓, Carcassi A. ↑,
65', Sciabica M. ↓, Langella G. ↑,
72', Troan M. ↓, Vanmechelen D. ↑,
75', Cafferata F. ↓, Benoit A. ↑,
75', Monnecchi M. ↓, Mesjasz M. ↑,
77', Castiello A. 🟨,
80', Visentin N. ↓, Ashworth-Clifford L. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Piemonte M. ⚽, Castiello A. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Lazio is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lazio Women
Italian Serie A Women
01.11.25	Milan - Lazio	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Lazio - Juventus	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Lazio - Genoa	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Como - Lazio	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A Cup Women
23.09.25	Roma - Lazio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWL
- Napoli Femminile
Italian Serie A Women
01.11.25	Parma - Napoli	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Napoli - Roma	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Ternana - Napoli	3:4 ✺
04.10.25	Napoli - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Cup Women
13.09.25	Juventus - Napoli	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Cup Women
23.08.25	Lazio - Napoli	2:1
Italian Serie A Women
18.04.25	Lazio - Napoli	2:1
08.03.25	Napoli - Lazio	0:4
18.01.25	Napoli - Lazio	0:4
13.10.24	Lazio - Napoli	0:0
Italian Serie B Women
18.12.22	Napoli - Lazio	2:0
Italian Serie A Women
02.04.22	Napoli - Lazio	0:1

Lazio - Napoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide