Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 14

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Tre Fontane (Rome)

Referee: Di Francesco D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	W-sport
Asia	W-Sport Asia
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	W-sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France, Molotov TV, W-Sport
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	Now Player, NOW Sports 5
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Luxembourg	W-Sport
Malaysia	Canal+
Mexico	FOX One, Tubi TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	W-Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App, W-Sport
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	W-Sport
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Roma		Napoli

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.15	5.3	Watch
	1.51	4.54	5.21
	1.5	4.62	5.33	Watch
	1.44	4	5
	1.57	3.91	5.73	Watch
	1.5	4.25	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.31)	4.25 ↓ (5.14)	5.32 ↓ (7.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
61.2%

Draw
21.6%

Napoli
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

18%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

17.2%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roma's form might have worsened.

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Napoli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Napoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Roma - Napoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Baldi R. (G) 25. Thogersen F. 4. Heatley W. 19. Oladipo S. 23. Bergamaschi V. 20. Greggi G. 10. Giugliano M. (C) 8. Csiki A. 30. Babajide R. 9. Brennskag-Dorsin F. 15. Dragoni G.	1. Beretta B. (G) 90. Langella G. 16. Jusjong M. 32. Vergani B. 27. Kainulainen E. 17. Carcassi A. 23. Bellucci M. (C) 13. Muth N. 8. Kozak K. 10. Banusic M. 11. Floe C.
Substitutes
5. Antoine M. 16. Corelli A. 47. Galli G. 1. Lukasova O. (G) 22. Pandini M. 78. Piekarska M. 36. Soggiu V. (G) 2. Veje K. 35. Ventriglia R. 7. Viens E.	7. Barker H. M. 24. D'Angelo A. 14. Faurskov L. 77. Giovannini V. 30. Hornschuch S. (G) 19. Sciabica M. 21. Thisgaard F. (G) 20. Troan M. 5. Veletanlic E.
Coaches
Rossettini L.	Sassarini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
21', 1 - 0, Brennskag-Dorsin F. ⚽, Dragoni G. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Giugliano M. ⚽, Dragoni G. (A),
28', 2 - 1, Banusic M. ⚽, Carcassi A. (A),
36', Heatley W. 🟨,
38', 2 - 2, Banusic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Muth N. ↓, Troan M. ↑,
64', Bergamaschi V. 🟨,
66', Babajide R. ↓, Corelli A. ↑,
67', Brennskag-Dorsin F. ↓, Galli G. ↑,
82', Bergamaschi V. ↓, Veje K. ↑,
82', Dragoni G. ↓, Viens E. ↑,
90+1', Csiki A. ↓, Ventriglia R. ↑,
90+7', Banusic M. ↓, Sciabica M. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: ) and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 4.

Roma is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Napoli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Roma is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Roma will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Roma won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:12. (average 2.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 3.5:1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

AS Roma W: 30.86% Napoli W: 0.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AS Roma W	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
11	Napoli W	2	0	0	2	2:5	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma Women
Italian Serie A Women
08.02.26	Roma - Milan	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Parma - Roma	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
28.01.26	Roma - Lazio	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
25.01.26	Genoa - Roma	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
21.01.26	Lazio - Roma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWWT
- Napoli Femminile
Italian Serie A Women
08.02.26	Napoli - Ternana	3:1 ✺
02.02.26	Fiorentina - Napoli	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
29.01.26	Juventus - Napoli	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
25.01.26	Sassuolo - Napoli	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
22.01.26	Napoli - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
19.10.25	Napoli - Roma	1:3
Coppa Italia Women
29.01.25	Roma - Napoli	2:2
15.01.25	Napoli - Roma	0:1
Italian Serie A Women
14.12.24	Napoli - Roma	1:2
29.09.24	Roma - Napoli	3:1
10.02.24	Napoli - Roma	0:1
Coppa Italia Women
07.02.24	Roma - Napoli	3:0

Roma - Napoli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide