Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 3

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Piccolo (Cercola) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Spina B. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	12:30	DAZN
Canada	06:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
France	12:30	DAZN France
Germany	12:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Italy	12:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	19:30	DAZN Japan
New Zealand	23:30	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	12:30	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	12:30	DAZN Switzerland
United Kingdom	11:30	DAZN, DAZN UK
Usa	06:30	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox


	Napoli		Roma

	1	X	2
	11.85	5	1.28
	9.87	4.26	1.36	Watch
	10.1	4.7	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.61 ↑ (9.87)	4.65 ↑ (4.26)	1.3 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
8.8%

Draw
20%

Roma
71.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

9.5%

21.9%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

15.6%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Napoli - Roma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Bacic D. (G) 44. Pettenuzzo T. (C) 16. Jusjong M. 2. Brooks C. 67. Giordano M. 17. Carcassi A. 13. Muth N. R. 23. Bellucci M. 7. Barker H. M. 8. Kozak K. 11. Floe Nielsen C.	24. Baldi R. (G) 23. Bergamaschi V. 44. van Diemen S. 4. Heatley W. 2. Veje K. 15. Dragoni G. 29. Rieke A. 8. Kuhl K. 16. Corelli A. (C) 7. Viens E. 11. Haavi E.
Substitutes
1. Beretta B. (G) 24. D'Angelo A. 22. Doucoure M. 9. Gianfico M. M. 30. Hornschuch S. (G) 90. Langella G. 21. Penzo T. 19. Sciabica M. 4. Sliskovic G. 20. Troan M. 25. Vanmechelen D. 72. Vischi F.	20. Greggi G. 1. Lukasova O. (G) 19. Oladipo S. 22. Pandini M. 21. Pante M. 17. Pilgrim A. 36. Soggiu V. (G) 25. Thogersen F. 6. Valdezate O.
Coaches
Sassarini D.	Rossettini L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Rieke A. ↓, Greggi G. ↑,
31', Giordano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', 0 - 1, Dragoni G. ⚽, Bergamaschi V. (A),
49', 0 - 2, Corelli A. ⚽, Viens E. (A),
61', Dragoni G. ↓, Pilgrim A. ↑,
62', Kuhl K. ↓, Pandini M. ↑,
66', Pettenuzzo T. ↓, Doucoure M. ↑,
66', Bellucci M. ↓, Sciabica M. ↑,
66', Carcassi A. ↓, Troan M. ↑,
77', Bergamaschi V. ↓, Thogersen F. ↑,
77', Haavi E. ↓, Pante M. ↑,
77', Kozak K. ↓, Vanmechelen D. ↑,
77', Muth N. R. ↓, Langella G. ↑,
83', 0 - 3, Corelli A. ⚽, Veje K. (A),
90', van Diemen S. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 3, Vanmechelen D. ⚽, Floe Nielsen C. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Napoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Roma is the obvious favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napoli Femminile
Italian Serie A Women
12.10.25	Ternana - Napoli	3:4 ✺
04.10.25	Napoli - Fiorentina	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Cup Women
13.09.25	Juventus - Napoli	4:0 ✺
07.09.25	Napoli - Parma	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Lazio - Napoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLTL
- AS Roma Women
UEFA Champions League Women
15.10.25	Roma - Barcelona	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
12.10.25	Milan - Roma	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
08.10.25	Real Madrid - Roma	6:2 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
04.10.25	Roma - Parma	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Cup Women
27.09.25	Juventus - Roma	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Women
29.01.25	Roma - Napoli	2:2
15.01.25	Napoli - Roma	0:1
Italian Serie A Women
14.12.24	Napoli - Roma	1:2
29.09.24	Roma - Napoli	3:1
10.02.24	Napoli - Roma	0:1
Coppa Italia Women
07.02.24	Roma - Napoli	3:0
16.01.24	Napoli - Roma	2:0

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