Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 1

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Austria	Laola1
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 8
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Le Mans		Brest

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.30	2.80	Watch
	2.45	3.30	2.80
	2.50	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.62	3.36	2.90
	2.52	3.44	2.74	Watch
	2.60	3.30	2.85
	2.57	3.39	2.88	Watch
	2.55	3.40	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.51)	3.34 ↓ (3.6)	2.82 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Le Mans
37.6%

Draw
28.6%

Brest
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.3%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	53.8%	30.8%

Le Mans - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Brest will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Kocik N. (G) 15. Boisse N. 21. Eyoum T. 26. Bamba R. 18. Buades L. 11. Bourabaa A. 8. Lauray A. (C) 76. Larouci Y. 25. Gueye D. 14. Mafouta L. 9. Rabillard A.	1. Selvik E. (G) 70. Lala K. (C) 29. Tousart L. 71. Le Guen R. 2. Locko B. 13. Chotard J. 7. Nonge J. 10. Del Castillo R. 23. Doumbia K. 9. Mboup P. 19. Ajorque L.
Substitutes
7. Brahimi B. 29. Bretelle L. 22. Calodat L. 28. Colas E. 20. Harhouz W. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 24. Robin M. 19. Sidibe D. 16. Torrente R.	17. Balde M. 49. Cagnon R. (G) 11. Camblan A. 6. Diambou M. 32. Laine M. L. C. 4. Lloris G. 34. Mailly E. 33. Makalou H. 20. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Videira P.	Lachuer J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Del Castillo R. ⚽, Doumbia K. (A),
43', Ajorque L. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Gueye D. ⚽, Mafouta L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Lauray A. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Mafouta L. ⚽, Bourabaa A. (A),
62', 2 - 2, Doumbia K. ⚽,
63', Mafouta L. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
63', Lauray A. ↓, Bretelle L. ↑,
63', Nonge J. ↓, Diambou M. ↑,
71', Del Castillo R. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
71', Mboup P. ↓, Camblan A. ↑,
72', Bourabaa A. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
72', Gueye D. ↓, Harhouz W. ↑,
81', Larouci Y. ↓, Calodat L. ↑,
89', Doumbia K. ↓, Laine M. L. C. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Le Mans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Le Mans has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Brest: 0.35% Le Mans: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9:9	0	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Le Mans - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.66%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans FC
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Le Mans - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Angers - Le Mans	2:3 ✺
25.07.26	Le Mans - Nantes	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Le Mans - Versailles	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Le Mans - La Roche VF	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWL
- Stade Brestois 29
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Nottingham Forest - Brest	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Brest - Venezia	2:2 ✺
05.08.26	Stade Briochin - Brest	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Brest - Al-Wakrah	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Brest - Concarneau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTWLT

Upcoming Matches