What is the expert prediction for Lorient vs Brest?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Lorient vs Brest. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Lorient vs Brest Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, October 19, 2025)

Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab


	Lorient		Brest

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.72
	2.85	3.32	2.67
	1.62	3.48	6.20	Watch
	2.72	3.45	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.48)	3.34 ↓ (3.38)	3.4 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
40%

Draw
30.3%

Brest
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.1%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.8%	41%	46.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Brest will win (votes: 18 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 41%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 30.6% – 61.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Brest (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Lorient (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Lorient (votes: 1 - 10%). Brest (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 5. Meite B. 3. Talbi M. 25. Faye A. 11. Le Bris T. 62. Avom A. 6. Abergel L. (C) 43. Kouassi A. 17. Makengo J. 10. Pagis P. 9. Bamba M.	1. Majecki R. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 44. Coulibaly S. 2. Locko B. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 23. Doumbia K. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 19. Ajorque L.
Substitutes
32. Adjei N. 8. Cadiou N. 12. Dieng B. 2. Igor Silva 21. Kamara B. (G) 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 28. Soumano S. 15. Tosin A. 44. Yongwa D.	30. Coudert G. (G) 4. Diaz Jr. M. 14. Labeau Lascary R. 26. Le Cardinal J. 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 29. Tousart L.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Le Bris T. ⚽, Kouassi A. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Dina Ebimbe J. ⚽, Locko B. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Makengo J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Faye A. 🟨,
52', Ajorque L. 🟨,
55', 2 - 2, Kouassi A. ⚽, Le Bris T. (A),
62', Makengo J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
64', Dina Ebimbe J. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
64', Doumbia K. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
72', Bamba M. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
72', Pagis P. ↓, Dieng B. ↑,
78', Lala K. ↓, Le Cardinal J. ↑,
83', Kouassi A. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
83', Le Bris T. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
84', Meite B. 🟨,
86', 2 - 3, Del Castillo R. (Pen),
88', Del Castillo R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
89', Le Cardinal J. 🟨,
89', 3 - 3, Soumano S. ⚽, Dieng B. (A),
90+4', Tosin A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2.

Lorient has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brest has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Lorient: Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toure I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Brest: Bourgault J. (International duty) Labeau Lascary R. (Elbow Injury)

There are questionable in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Brest: Balde M. (Thigh Injury) Del Castillo R. (Muscle Injury) Tousart L. (Ankle Injury) Zogbe L. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:33. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).

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Last Results with these Odds

Brest - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.46%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
03.10.25	Paris FC - Lorient	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Lorient - Monaco	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	Le Havre - Lorient	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Olympique Marseille - Lorient	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	Lorient - Lille	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTLL
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
04.10.25	Brest - Nantes	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Angers - Brest	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Brest - Nice	4:1 ✺
14.09.25	Brest - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Lens - Brest	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.24	Lorient - Brest	1:1
French Ligue 1
31.03.24	Lorient - Brest	0:1
20.12.23	Brest - Lorient	4:0
07.05.23	Lorient - Brest	2:1
09.10.22	Brest - Lorient	1:2
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Brest - Lorient	1:0
French Ligue 1
27.02.22	Brest - Lorient	0:1

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