Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Charles Massot (Espaly-Saint Marcel)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Ligue 1+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Le Puy		Orleans

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.20	2.85
	2.15	3.1	3.15
	2.22	3.35	3.48
	2.25	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.16	3.2	3.4
	2.16	3.47	3.15
	2.16	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.25)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	3.15 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Puy
42.3%

Draw
28.4%

Orleans
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.7%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Puy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Orleans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Puy than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Le Puy - Orleans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carvalho M. (G) 7. Kouassi E. 2. Vinicius Gomes 3. Seidou E. 5. Dembele M. 13. Fatahine A. 18. Gauthier A. 10. Xhemo R. (C) 8. Mroivili R. 11. Emmanuel M. 17. Nsingi P.	1. Faham F. (G) 23. Koembo J. 12. Guiheneuf M. 5. Sylla M. (C) 24. Drame I. 8. Ba Abou 20. Dali-Amar B. 11. Berthier G. 21. Raillot L. 10. Khous G. 19. Legendre R.
Substitutes
21. Baret L. 4. Cisse I. 27. Ducourtioux I. 9. Faty M. 19. Ghalem T. 14. Mazaudier M. 40. Roperti A. (G)	14. Aouladzian Y. 6. Aubourg H. 7. Diako M. 27. Lemaitre M. 40. Moussima S. (G) 9. Prunier M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Khous G. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Gauthier A. ⚽, Xhemo R. (A),
44', Drame I. 🟨,
45+3', Ba Abou 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Gauthier A. 🟨,
54', Ba Abou ↓, Aubourg H. ↑,
60', Vinicius Gomes 🟨,
65', Khous G. ↓, Prunier M. ↑,
65', Dali-Amar B. ↓, Diako M. ↑,
67', Nsingi P. ↓, Faty M. ↑,
67', Dembele M. ↓, Ghalem T. ↑,
70', Legendre R. 🟨,
78', Guiheneuf M. ↓, Lemaitre M. ↑,
84', Gauthier A. ↓, Baret L. ↑,
84', Emmanuel M. ↓, Ducourtioux I. ↑,
88', Prunier M. 🟨,
90+1', Mroivili R. ↓, Mazaudier M. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Le Puy has had a series of away games.

Le Puy will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Puy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Puy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Le Puy-en-Velay	9	4	1	4	11:9	2	13
14	Orleans	9	2	3	4	7:11	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Orleans - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.57%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
French Ligue 3
29.08.26	Cannes - Le Puy	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Le Puy - Amiens	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Versailles - Le Puy	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Bastia - Le Puy	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Montpellier - Le Puy	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWL
- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
29.08.26	Orleans - La Roche VF	0:1 ✺
20.08.26	Fleury 91 - Orleans	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Orleans - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Concarneau - Orleans	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Auxerre - Orleans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
13.02.26	Le Puy - Orleans	1:1
05.09.25	Orleans - Le Puy	1:1
21.04.23	Le Puy - Orleans	0:1
02.12.22	Orleans - Le Puy	1:2

Le Puy - Orleans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide