Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Charles Massot (Espaly-Saint Marcel)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Italy	Ligue 1+
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+


	Le Puy		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.30	3.50
	1.77	3.30	4.00
	1.96	3.45	4.27
	1.88	3.45	3.7	Watch
	1.89	3.30	4.20
	1.98	3.54	3.54
	1.89	3.40	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.67)	3.39 ↓ (3.67)	3.83 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Le Puy
48.7%

Draw
27.2%

Villefranche
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

24.9%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

24.1%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Puy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Puy's form might have worsened.

Villefranche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Puy than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Puy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Le Puy - Villefranche Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carvalho M. (G) 2. Vinicius Gomes 8. Mroivili R. 7. Kouassi E. 5. Dembele M. 3. Seidou E. 9. Faty M. 10. Xhemo R. (C) 18. Gauthier A. 17. Nsingi P. 13. Fatahine A.	1. Pean S. (G) 23. Gassama D. 12. Onambele F. O. 5. Moltenis B. 8. Etuin M. 10. Yobe L. (C) 13. Cachbach M. 18. Laspalles R. 26. Sabihi N. 27. Diakite A. 7. Louzif M.
Substitutes
21. Baret L. 27. Ducourtioux I. 11. Emmanuel M. 19. Ghalem T. 12. Lebouath S. 14. Mazaudier M. 40. Roperti A. (G)	17. De Lima M. 29. Etoga L. 19. Nagera K. 9. Piquionne L. 14. Tiehi J. 4. Tshibuabua M. 16. Wilzius T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Onambele F. O. ⚽, Diakite A. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Kouassi E. ⚽, Fatahine A. (A),
23', 2 - 1, Gauthier A. ⚽, Mroivili R. (A),
34', 3 - 1, Gauthier A. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Onambele F. O. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
39', Etuin M. ↓, Tshibuabua M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Laspalles R. ↓, Tiehi J. ↑,
48', 4 - 1, Faty M. ⚽, Fatahine A. (A),
50', 🟨,
56', Dembele M. 🟨,
70', Yobe L. ↓, Etoga L. ↑,
70', Moltenis B. ↓, De Lima M. ↑,
73', Faty M. ↓, Emmanuel M. ↑,
80', Seidou E. ↓, Lebouath S. ↑,
80', Fatahine A. ↓, Baret L. ↑,
81', 🟨,
89', Dembele M. ↓, Ducourtioux I. ↑,
89', Mroivili R. ↓, Ghalem T. ↑,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 13th and 17th in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Puy won 2.

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Bookmakers give the edge to Le Puy for this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Le Puy has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:6 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Le Puy against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Le Puy-en-Velay	9	4	1	4	11:9	2	13
18	Villefranche	9	1	1	7	7:22	-15	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
French Ligue 3
12.09.26	Quevilly - Le Puy	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Le Puy - Orleans	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Cannes - Le Puy	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Le Puy - Amiens	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Versailles - Le Puy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLWL
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
12.09.26	Villefranche - La Roche VF	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Fleury 91 - Villefranche	6:1 ✺
29.08.26	Villefranche - Rouen FC	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Concarneau - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Villefranche - Paris 13 Atletico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
20.03.26	Villefranche - Le Puy	2:3
17.10.25	Le Puy - Villefranche	3:0
24.02.23	Villefranche - Le Puy	1:1
16.09.22	Le Puy - Villefranche	1:1
Club Friendly
16.07.21	Villefranche - Le Puy	1:0
French Ligue 3
20.12.19	Le Puy - Villefranche	1:1

Le Puy - Villefranche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide