Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Lealtad		Marino de Luanco

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.87
	2.52	3.05	2.58
	2.78	3.19	2.52
	3.55	2.26	2.80	Watch
	2.82	3.03	2.61
	2.28	3	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.75)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	2.72 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lealtad
34.2%

Draw
31.8%

Marino de Luanco
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29.4%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

29.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Lealtad - Marino de Luanco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Basurto A. ⚽,
54', 0 - 2, Lora A. ⚽,

Preview

Lealtad is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Marino de Luanco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lealtad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lealtad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lealtad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.09.25	Real Ávila - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Lealtad - Sámano	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Sarriana - Lealtad	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Lealtad - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.25	Gijón Industrial - Lealtad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLTT
- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.09.25	Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	UD Ourense - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Marino de Luanco - Langreo	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.09.25	Rayo Cantabria - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.01.21	Lealtad - Marino de Luanco	0:1
25.10.20	Marino de Luanco - Lealtad	2:2
17.01.15	Lealtad - Marino de Luanco	1:0
30.08.14	Marino de Luanco - Lealtad	1:1

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