Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Marino de Luanco		Bergantiños

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.78	2.52
	2.9	2.88	2.63
	6.04	1.34	5.95	Watch
	2.84	2.84	2.59
	2.14	3.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.14)	2.63 ↓ (3.33)	3.36 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino de Luanco
30.6%

Draw
38.9%

Bergantiños
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino de Luanco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marino de Luanco's form might have worsened.

Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino de Luanco than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marino de Luanco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

The ML Model estimate for Bergantiños aligns with the current prediction.

Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Bergantiños (1.66) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Bergantiños (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Tito ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Barck A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marino de Luanco won 1.

In recent matches, Marino de Luanco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bergantiños is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bergantiños may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bergantiños has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Marino de Luanco won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Marino de Luanco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marino de Luanco
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.09.25	UD Ourense - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Marino de Luanco - Langreo	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.09.25	Rayo Cantabria - Marino de Luanco	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLL
- Bergantiños FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.09.25	Bergantiños - Numancia	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Bergantiños - Estradense	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.09.25	Real Ávila - Bergantiños	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.09.25	Bergantiños - Salamanca	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa Federacion
10.09.25	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	4:2 ET
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.04.25	Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños	1:1
08.12.24	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	1:2
11.03.23	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	1:1
23.10.22	Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños	2:3
26.03.22	Bergantiños - Marino de Luanco	0:0
07.11.21	Marino de Luanco - Bergantiños	0:1

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