Match Info

Primera C - Round 10

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Puerto Nuevo		Leandro N. Alem

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.75	2.65
	2.92	2.78	2.45
	2.87	2.84	2.44
	2.97	2.77	2.53	Watch
	2.9	2.63	2.5
	2.95	2.81	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.44)	2.76 ↓ (2.95)	2.51 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puerto Nuevo
31.4%

Draw
32.6%

Leandro N. Alem
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

31%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puerto Nuevo's form might have worsened.

Leandro N. Alem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leandro N. Alem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puerto Nuevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leandro N. Alem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Puerto Nuevo - Leandro N. Alem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Seltzer C. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, Mendiburu G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
76', 0 - 3, Fortini A. ⚽,
78', 0 - 4, Almiron A. ⚽,
89', 1 - 4, Lopez J. P. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 3.

Puerto Nuevo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leandro N. Alem has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Puerto Nuevo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Puerto Nuevo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Puerto Nuevo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Nuevo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Leandro N. Alem - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.64%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Puerto Nuevo
Argentinian Primera C
26.04.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Puerto Nuevo	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Deportivo Yupanqui - Puerto Nuevo	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Puerto Nuevo - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Puerto Nuevo - Argentino de Rosario	1:1 ✺
23.03.26	Fénix - Puerto Nuevo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTTT
- Leandro N. Alem
Argentinian Primera C
25.04.26	Lugano - Leandro N. Alem	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Leandro N. Alem - Central Ballester	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Leandro N. Alem - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Leandro N. Alem	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Leandro N. Alem - Sacachispas	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
30.08.25	Puerto Nuevo - Leandro N. Alem	1:0
21.05.25	Leandro N. Alem - Puerto Nuevo	2:3
30.11.24	Puerto Nuevo - Leandro N. Alem	0:3
29.06.24	Leandro N. Alem - Puerto Nuevo	4:0
10.07.23	Puerto Nuevo - Leandro N. Alem	3:0
06.03.23	Leandro N. Alem - Puerto Nuevo	0:1
24.07.22	Puerto Nuevo - Leandro N. Alem	3:1

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