The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leandro N. Alem 30.4%
Draw 33.4%
Juventud Unida de San Miguel 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
29.8%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
30.8%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leandro N. Alem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leandro N. Alem's form might have worsened.
Juventud Unida de San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leandro N. Alem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Unida de San Miguel than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Leandro N. Alem - Juventud Unida de San Miguel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Paredes M. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 1 - 1, Cristeff M. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 1 - 2, Molinas A. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leandro N. Alem won 1.
Recent performances by Leandro N. Alem have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Juventud Unida is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Juventud Unida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Juventud Unida has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leandro N. Alem won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Leandro N. Alem won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Juventud Unida de San Miguel - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.55%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.