Match Info
Primera C - Round 25Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday
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 |
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Leandro N. Alem |
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Lugano |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.65 |
2.80 |
2.55 |
|
 |
2.43 |
2.90 |
2.75 |
|
 |
2.80 |
2.68 |
2.63 |
|
 |
2.74 |
2.85 |
2.65 |
 Watch |
 |
2.75 |
2.65 |
2.60 |
|
 |
2.68 |
2.88 |
2.55 |
|
 |
2.65 |
2.85 |
2.55 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.43) |
2.8 ↓
(2.94) |
2.61 ↓
(2.74) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leandro N. Alem
33.6% | Draw
32% | Lugano
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leandro N. Alem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-2.9%)Leandro N. Alem - Lugano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 1, Gelpi M. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).Recent form of Leandro N. Alem has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Lugano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, Leandro N. Alem has had a series of away games.Recently, Lugano has had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leandro N. Alem won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).Including home matches between the teams, Leandro N. Alem won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Leandro N. Alem - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.85%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Primera C | | | 25.04.26 | Lugano - Leandro N. Alem | 2:2 | | 24.08.25 | Leandro N. Alem - Lugano | 0:0 | | 11.05.25 | Lugano - Leandro N. Alem | 0:2 | | 06.07.24 | Leandro N. Alem - Lugano | 2:0 | | 05.02.24 | Lugano - Leandro N. Alem | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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