Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Leatherhead		Potters Bar Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.87
	2.12	3.35	2.95
	2.19	3.62	3.02
	2.25	3.6	2.5
	2.16	3.45	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.4)	3.46 ↓ (3.6)	2.88 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leatherhead
42.1%

Draw
26.3%

Potters Bar Town
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.5%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leatherhead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Potters Bar Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Potters Bar Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leatherhead than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leatherhead that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potters Bar Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Potters Bar Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leatherhead - Potters Bar Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leatherhead won 5.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Leatherhead won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Leatherhead won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leatherhead
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.04.22	Kingstonian - Leatherhead	2:2 ✺
16.04.22	Leatherhead - Folkestone Invicta	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Wingate & Finchley - Leatherhead	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Leatherhead - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Horsham - Leatherhead	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TLTWW
- Potters Bar Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.04.22	Potters Bar Town - Enfield Town	0:2 ✺
16.04.22	Bishops Stortford - Potters Bar Town	3:0 ✺
09.04.22	Potters Bar Town - Merstham	2:0 ✺
05.04.22	Potters Bar Town - Horsham	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Margate - Potters Bar Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.12.21	Potters Bar Town - Leatherhead	3:4
English FA Trophy
31.10.20	Leatherhead - Potters Bar Town	3:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.03.20	Leatherhead - Potters Bar Town	4:0
05.01.19	Leatherhead - Potters Bar Town	2:1
15.09.18	Potters Bar Town - Leatherhead	0:1

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