Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Wingate & Finchley		Leatherhead

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.25
	2.13	3.3	2.95
	2.17	3.57	3.09
	2.12	3.56	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.69)	3.53 ↓ (4.32)	3.08 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
44.3%

Draw
25.9%

Leatherhead
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

21%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

24.5%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wingate & Finchley's form might have worsened.

Leatherhead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wingate & Finchley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leatherhead than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leatherhead, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wingate & Finchley - Leatherhead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 3.

Recent matches Wingate & Finchley is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leatherhead is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wingate & Finchley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Wingate & Finchley won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.04.22	Lewes - Wingate & Finchley	2:3 ✺
26.03.22	Wingate & Finchley - Bishops Stortford	0:2 ✺
19.03.22	Wingate & Finchley - Horsham	3:0 ✺
12.03.22	Cheshunt - Wingate & Finchley	3:0 ✺
05.03.22	Potters Bar Town - Wingate & Finchley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWLT
- Leatherhead
English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.04.22	Leatherhead - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Horsham - Leatherhead	0:1 ✺
22.03.22	Enfield Town - Leatherhead	1:0 ✺
19.03.22	Leatherhead - East Thurrock United	3:1 ✺
12.03.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Leatherhead	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.08.21	Leatherhead - Wingate & Finchley	1:2
07.01.20	Wingate & Finchley - Leatherhead	1:2
02.02.19	Leatherhead - Wingate & Finchley	2:1
13.10.18	Wingate & Finchley - Leatherhead	1:0
03.02.18	Wingate & Finchley - Leatherhead	3:1
19.11.17	Leatherhead - Wingate & Finchley	4:0
25.03.17	Leatherhead - Wingate & Finchley	1:0

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