Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 5

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Lecco		Trento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.05	3.2
	2.22	3.1	3.43
	2.15	3.11	3.47	Watch
	2.18	3.08	3.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.27)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	3.32 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
42.2%

Draw
29.9%

Trento
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

29.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Lecco aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trento than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Lecco - Trento Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Trento (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trento (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Furlan J. (G) 18. Tanco G. J. 16. Ferrini M. 13. Battistini M. (C) 45. Rizzo M. 5. Zanellato N. 26. Frigerio M. R. 80. Kritta M. 14. Bonaiti S. 25. Sipos L. 10. Furrer G.	1. Barlocco S. (G) 19. Muca Z. 29. Fiamozzi R. 39. Miranda K. 44. Maffei M. 23. Aucelli C. 5. Sangalli M. 10. Giannotti P. (C) 24. Dalmonte N. 9. Ebone T. 71. Chinetti F.
Substitutes
9. Alaoui A. 90. Constant G. (G) 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 11. Galeandro A. 7. Grassini D. 33. Lovisa N. 6. Mallamo A. 4. Marrone L. 21. Metlika A. 17. Pellegrino G. 41. Romani L. 8. Voltan D.	20. Benedetti G. 7. Capone C. 8. Cappelletti D. 28. Corradi C. 14. Fossati M. 3. Meconi E. 25. Mehic A. 11. Pellegrini J. 12. Rubboli L. (G) 4. Trainotti A. 27. Triacca D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Maffei M. 🟨,
27', Ebone T. 🟨,
36', Ferrini M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Furrer G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ferrini M. ↓, Romani L. ↑,
46', Maffei M. ↓, Triacca D. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Sipos L. ⚽,
53', Fiamozzi R. ↓, Cappelletti D. ↑,
53', Ebone T. ↓, Pellegrini J. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Pellegrini J. ⚽,
66', 🟨,
67', Chinetti F. 🟨,
74', Miranda K. ↓, Capone C. ↑,
78', Frigerio M. R. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,
78', Rizzo M. ↓, Pellegrino G. ↑,
87', Kritta M. ↓, Lovisa N. ↑,
90+9', 3 - 1, Zanellato N. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 1.

Lecco is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Trento's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lecco might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
14.09.25	Inter U23 - Lecco	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Lecco - Dolomiti Bellunesi	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Triestina - Lecco	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Lecco - Ospitaletto	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Lecco - Ospitaletto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWL
- AC Trento SCSD
Italian Serie C Group A
14.09.25	Trento - AlbinoLeffe	2:2 ✺
07.09.25	Novara - Trento	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Trento - Brescia	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Giana Erminio - Trento	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Carpi - Trento	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
05.01.25	Lecco - Trento	1:2
01.09.24	Trento - Lecco	1:1
05.03.23	Trento - Lecco	2:0
30.10.22	Lecco - Trento	1:2
26.03.22	Lecco - Trento	2:1
21.11.21	Trento - Lecco	3:0
Italian Serie D - Group B
18.03.18	Trento - Lecco	0:2

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