Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Briamasco (Trento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Trento		AlbinoLeffe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.95	2.75
	1.95	3.4	3.5
	2.34	3.06	2.86
	3.08	3.60	2.11	Watch
	2.01	3.4	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.45)	3.28 ↑ (3.08)	2.96 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trento
39.9%

Draw
28.5%

AlbinoLeffe
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

30.1%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

29.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trento than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Trento - AlbinoLeffe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Trento (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - AlbinoLeffe (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trento (votes: 1 - 50%). AlbinoLeffe (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barlocco S. (G) 27. Triacca D. 4. Trainotti A. (C) 28. Corradi C. 44. Maffei M. 20. Benedetti G. 14. Fossati M. 10. Giannotti P. 24. Dalmonte N. 11. Pellegrini J. 7. Capone C.	1. Di Chiara S. (G) 2. Barba B. 4. Potop S. (C) 30. Baroni R. 7. Garattoni A. 6. Astrologo A. 5. Mandelli A. 18. Parlati S. 28. Gusu M. 99. Sarr A. M. 21. Angeloni M.
Substitutes
70. Calza G. 8. Cappelletti D. 71. Chinetti F. 9. Ebone T. 29. Fiamozzi R. 37. Genco A. 3. Meconi E. 25. Mehic A. 39. Miranda K. 19. Muca Z. 12. Rubboli L. (G) 5. Sangalli M. 22. Tommasi M. (G)	19. Agostinelli M. 20. Ambrosini M. 26. Bonfanti R. (G) 58. Brighenti R. 10. De Paoli A. 79. Lekaj K. 8. Lombardi A. 42. Lupinetti T. 11. Sali G. 23. Sottini E. 34. Svidercoschi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Garattoni A. ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, Parlati S. ⚽,
45', Giannotti P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Trainotti A. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
46', Triacca D. ↓, Muca Z. ↑,
54', 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Dalmonte N. ⚽,
63', Capone C. ↓, Chinetti F. ↑,
64', Angeloni M. ↓, De Paoli A. ↑,
64', Parlati S. ↓, Lupinetti T. ↑,
64', Sarr A. M. ↓, Svidercoschi S. ↑,
72', Benedetti G. ↓, Mehic A. ↑,
77', Astrologo A. ↓, Agostinelli M. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Muca Z. ⚽,
80', Pellegrini J. ↓, Ebone T. ↑,
81', Sangalli M. 🟨,
83', Baroni R. ↓, Sottini E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trento won 1.

Recent performances by Trento have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AlbinoLeffe is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

AlbinoLeffe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, AlbinoLeffe has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Trento won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Trento won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Trento - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.8%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Trento SCSD
Italian Serie C Group A
07.09.25	Novara - Trento	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Trento - Brescia	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Giana Erminio - Trento	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Carpi - Trento	1:0 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Trento - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLWLW
- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
06.09.25	AlbinoLeffe - Renate	2:3 ✺
29.08.25	Pro Vercelli - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	AlbinoLeffe - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Vercelli	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	AlbinoLeffe - Villa Valle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
30.03.25	Trento - AlbinoLeffe	5:1
16.11.24	AlbinoLeffe - Trento	0:0
30.03.24	AlbinoLeffe - Trento	2:2
24.11.23	Trento - AlbinoLeffe	1:2
16.04.23	AlbinoLeffe - Trento	1:1
11.12.22	Trento - AlbinoLeffe	0:1
24.04.22	AlbinoLeffe - Trento	1:3

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