Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 5

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Giana Erminio		Trento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.20	3.10	2.05
	3.45	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.82	3.25	2.08
	3.5	3.11	2.08	Watch
	3.7	3.15	2.03
	3.58	3.16	2.11	Watch
	3.4	3.15	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.11)	3.15 ↑ (3)	2.06 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
26.1%

Draw
29.3%

Trento
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29.9%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.5%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trento than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Giana Erminio - Trento Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Giana Erminio will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Trento will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mazza A. (G) 19. Mora C. 60. Rovinelli E. 5. Ghezzi S. 11. Comelli S. 21. Muhameti E. 25. Zanchetta M. 7. Pinto D. (C) 3. Nucifero T. 8. Magazzu L. 10. Renda F.	1. Barlocco S. (G) 44. Maffei M. 27. Frison F. 18. Benassai F. 3. D'Intino R. 23. Aucelli C. (C) 73. Grossi J. 80. Garetto M. 8. Benedetti G. 9. Molina J. I. 14. Sodero A.
Substitutes
12. Azzolari E. (G) 26. Ballabio M. 28. Di Bitonto C. 13. Golin M. 90. Leggio T. 27. Manzoni F. 14. Marotta M. 4. Piazza A. 24. Ruffini L. 6. Saggionetto N. 29. Samele L. 23. Tornaghi P. 1. Zenti A. (G)	95. Caia F. 70. Calza G. 66. Castelli M. 7. Dalmonte N. 6. Fossati M. 37. Genco A. 22. Goller E. (G) 5. Kassama S. 21. Ladisa M. 25. Mehic A. 12. Santer L. (G) 99. Sartori F. 4. Trainotti A.
Coaches
Gambirasio A.	Tabbiani L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Sodero A. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Muhameti E. ⚽, Renda F. (A),
34', 1 - 2, Garetto M. ⚽, Sodero A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nucifero T. ↓, Ruffini L. ↑,
46', Benedetti G. 🟨,
55', Benassai F. 🟨,
56', Molina J. I. ↓, Caia F. ↑,
56', Benedetti G. ↓, Ladisa M. ↑,
58', Mora C. ↓, Ballabio M. ↑,
58', Pinto D. ↓, Di Bitonto C. ↑,
64', Comelli S. 🟨,
68', Di Bitonto C. 🟨,
69', Ruffini L. 🟨,
71', Muhameti E. ↓, Samele L. ↑,
76', Grossi J. ↓, Fossati M. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Samele L. ⚽, Rovinelli E. (A),
84', Renda F. ↓, Saggionetto N. ↑,
88', Sodero A. ↓, Castelli M. ↑,
88', Garetto M. ↓, Mehic A. ↑,
90+4', Magazzu L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 2.

Giana Erminio is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Trento has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Trento has had a series of home games.

Trento is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Trento will win today's game, with odds of 2.26.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Giana Erminio won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Giana Erminio won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Trento	8	3	5	0	11:5	6	14
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4

Last Results with these Odds

Giana Erminio - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 28.81%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Trento - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
13.09.26	Lecco - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Giana Erminio - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Brescia - Giana Erminio	5:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
30.08.26	Lumezzane - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Giana Erminio - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AC Trento SCSD
Italian Serie C Group A
13.09.26	Trento - Brescia	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Trento - Lecco	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.09.26	Trento - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
31.08.26	Desenzano Calvina - Trento	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Trento - Treviso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
03.05.26	Trento - Giana Erminio	1:2
03.01.26	Trento - Giana Erminio	3:1
23.08.25	Giana Erminio - Trento	0:2
05.04.25	Giana Erminio - Trento	2:0
23.11.24	Trento - Giana Erminio	2:0
06.04.24	Trento - Giana Erminio	0:0
03.12.23	Giana Erminio - Trento	2:1

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