Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Poznan (Poznań)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 6
Czech-republic	Strike, Strike
Germany	Laola1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Lech Poznań		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.50	4.50	Watch
	1.57	4.33	5.00
	1.58	4.20	5.20
	1.60	4.50	5.23
	1.56	4.72	5.15	Watch
	1.57	4.35	5.25
	1.61	4.66	4.66	Watch
	1.55	4.25	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.77)	4.44 ↑ (3.96)	4.96 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
59.8%

Draw
21.2%

Raków Częstochowa
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

24%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

23.5%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lech Poznań's performance.

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Lech (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lech (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lech Poznań will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lech Poznań will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis M. (G) 2. Pereira J. 72. Skrzypczak M. 27. Monka W. 15. Gurgul M. 22. Murawski R. (C) 24. Jagiello F. 17. Sayyadmanesh A. 21. Rodriguez P. 77. Palma L. 7. Agnero Y.	1. Trelowski K. (G) 7. Tudor F. (C) 25. Racovitan B. 4. Svarnas S. 20. Silva J. C. 6. Repka O. 23. Struski K. 21. Pienko T. 9. Makuch P. 11. Emreli M. 99. Basse A.
Substitutes
14. Bengtsson L. 5. Berggren G. 20. Gumny R. 9. Ishak M. 33. Pruchniewski M. (G) 10. Walemark P. 59. Yegbe T.	22. Abraham O. 3. Brorsson A. 39. Brusberg I. 77. Debohi D. G. 17. Jendryka J. 71. Karic T. (G) 10. Kochergin V. 88. Molnar A. 2. Napieraj J. 36. Perovic M. 29. Zolneczko W. (G)
Coaches
Frederiksen N.	Szulczek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Tudor F. 🟨,
25', Skrzypczak M. 🟨,
32', Gurgul M. 🟨,
40', Pienko T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Skrzypczak M. ↓, Yegbe T. ↑,
46', Palma L. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
46', Basse A. ↓, Kochergin V. ↑,
54', Agnero Y. ↓, Ishak M. ↑,
68', Sayyadmanesh A. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Bengtsson L. ⚽, Rodriguez P. (A),
75', Jagiello F. ↓, Berggren G. ↑,
76', Svarnas S. ↓, Brusberg I. ↑,
79', Pienko T. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
79', Makuch P. ↓, Molnar A. ↑,
79', Tudor F. ↓, Jendryka J. ↑,
90+3', Monka W. 🟨,
90+4', Emreli M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 1.

Lech has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Raków has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Lech is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Lech: Douglas A. (Inactive) Gholizadeh A. (Knee Injury) Hakans D. (Inactive) Kozubal A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Raków: Adriano (Inactive) Bulat M. (Inactive) Diaby-Fadiga L. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Raków: Otieno E. (Inactive)

We predict that Lech will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Lech won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Lech Poznan: 34.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	17:7	10	19
18	Rakow	9	1	0	8	12:21	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.09.26	Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Widzew Łódź - Lech Poznań	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Thun - Lech Poznań	2:2 ✺
20.08.26	Lech Poznań - Thun	7:0 ✺
14.08.26	KÍ Klaksvík - Lech Poznań	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWW
- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.09.26	Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Raków Częstochowa - Hajduk Split	2:3 AET ✺
20.08.26	Hajduk Split - Raków Częstochowa	2:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.08.26	Cracovia - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
01.03.26	Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa	4:3
24.09.25	Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań	2:2
14.02.25	Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa	0:1
09.08.24	Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań	0:0
03.03.24	Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań	4:0
28.09.23	Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa	4:1
14.05.23	Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań	0:2

Upcoming Matches