The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Raków Częstochowa 50.4%
Draw 26.1%
Hajduk Split 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
27.5%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
27.6%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raków Częstochowa's performance.
Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raków Częstochowa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70.6%
17.6%
11.8%
Raków Częstochowa - Hajduk Split Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Hajduk will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 48.9% – 92.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - under (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Trelowski K. (G) 7. Tudor F. (C) 25. Racovitan B. 4. Svarnas S. 19. Ameyaw M. 23. Struski K. 6. Repka O. 26. Otieno E. 9. Makuch P. 11. Emreli M. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L.
33. Silic T. (G) 22. Acapandie M. 15. Maresic D. 14. Raci R. 32. Hrgovic S. 8. Sigur N. 21. Pukstas R. 7. Sanyang A. 9. de Almeida D. 23. Soticek M. 11. Sego M. (C)
Substitutes
3. Brorsson A. 39. Brusberg I. 77. Debohi D. G. 17. Jendryka J. 71. Karic T. (G) 10. Kochergin V. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 88. Molnar A. 2. Napieraj J. 21. Pienko T. 20. Silva J. C. 29. Zolneczko W. (G)
19. Brruti E. 20. del Moral A. 3. Gabric R. 38. Hodak L. 26. Huram A. 1. Ivusic I. (G) 10. Livaja M. 17. Melnjak D. 36. Skelin M. 44. Stipica D. (G) 16. Sutalo A. 5. Van Hoorenbeeck A.
Coaches
Kroczek D.
Garcia G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Raci R. ⚽, de Almeida D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Otieno E. ↓, Silva J. C. ↑,
51', Ameyaw M. 🟨,
51', Sigur N. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Diaby-Fadiga L. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Acapandie M. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Sego M. ⚽, Soticek M. (A),
70', Sanyang A. ↓, Sutalo A. ↑,
71', de Almeida D. ↓, del Moral A. ↑,
71', Acapandie M. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
71', Struski K. ↓, Kochergin V. ↑,
79', Soticek M. ↓, Huram A. ↑,
84', Makuch P. ↓, Molnar A. ↑,
84', Ameyaw M. ↓, Brusberg I. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Emreli M. ⚽,
89', Emreli M. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
91', Sego M. ↓, Livaja M. ↑,
91', Tudor F. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,
94', 2 - 3, Pukstas R. ⚽, Maresic D. (A),
96', Maresic D. ↓, Van Hoorenbeeck A. ↑,
99', Garcia G. 🟨,
106', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Kwiatkowski O. ↑,
Preview
First leg result: 2-2.
Raków has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hajduk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Hajduk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Raków has had a series of away games.
Recently, Hajduk has had a series of home games.
Raków could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Raków won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now
Austria
Croatia
Germany
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Trelowski K. (G) 
Tudor F. (C) 
Racovitan B. 
Svarnas S. 
Otieno E. 
Emreli M. 
Diaby-Fadiga L. 
Acapandie M. 
Maresic D. 
Raci R. 
Sigur N. 
Pukstas R. 
Sanyang A. 
de Almeida D. 
Brorsson A. 
Debohi D. G. 
Karic T. (G) 
Kochergin V. 
Molnar A. 
Brruti E. 
Van Hoorenbeeck A. 
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