The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lech Poznań 39.5%
Draw 27.7%
Standard Liège 32.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
27.8%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
19.7%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lech Poznań that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Standard Liège could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64%
14.7%
21.3%
Lech Poznań - Standard Liège Predictions
Users Predictions:
75 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 48 - 64%). Standard will win (votes: 16 - 21.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 14.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 53.1% – 74.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Limited number of spectators.
Lech has a small chance of round of 32 (6%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Standard has a very small chance of round of 32 (3%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Lech could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
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