Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday


	Lech Poznań 2		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	2.75
	2.3	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.27	3.35	2.76
	2.26	3.28	3.09
	2.15	3.25	2.8
	2.23	3.1	3.08	Watch
	2.37	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.75)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.87 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
40.4%

Draw
27.8%

Olimpia Elbląg
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

29.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lech Poznań 2's performance.

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia Elbląg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lech Poznań 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Elbląg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Lech Poznań 2 - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pruchniewski M. (G) 6. Cywka T. (C) 19. Dziuba M. 21. Kalata K. 16. Kornobis I. 3. Kukulka K. 13. Niedzielski J. 4. Orzechowski K. 9. Paclawski N. 15. Stankiewicz I. 5. Wichtowski M.	27. Witan A. (C) 18. Danilczyk D. 11. Famulak M. 21. Filipczyk K. 13. Kuczalek M. 24. Mruk B. 29. Sangowski J. 3. Sarnowski L. 5. Szczudlinski K. 28. Yatsenko O. 20. Zak A.
Substitutes
. Brzyski I. 11. Czekala M. . Jakobczyk K. . Monka W. 22. Nadolski A. 14. Olejnik P. . Pietrzak M. 1. Stachowiak A. (G) 18. Wolski F.	6. Bartos K. 12. Czaplinski D. 9. Gabrych M. 7. Jozwicki K. 4. Laszak K. 22. Legowski L. (G) 10. Senkevich Y. 16. Spychala M. 17. Stefaniak M.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lech 2 won 2.

Lech 2 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Elbląg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Lech 2 have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Lech 2 won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Lech 2 won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 2
24.02.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Chrobry Głogów - Lech Poznań 2	3:0 ✺
27.01.24	GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań 2	1:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
03.12.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Lech Poznań 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWLTW
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
24.02.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Skra Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.02.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Gryf Słupsk	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Jagiellonia II Białystok	Canceled ✺
20.01.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Elana Toruń	0:3 ✺
14.01.24	Legia Warsaw - Olimpia Elbląg	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
22.07.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Lech Poznań 2	2:2
01.04.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Lech Poznań 2	0:1
27.08.22	Lech Poznań 2 - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0
10.04.22	Lech Poznań 2 - Olimpia Elbląg	0:2
26.09.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Lech Poznań 2	1:2
17.04.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Lech Poznań 2	3:1
29.10.20	Lech Poznań 2 - Olimpia Elbląg	2:3

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