Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Amica Wronki Stadium (Wronki) 🌤️ ...


	Lech Poznań 2		Polonia Środa Wielkopolska

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.80	2.05
	2.7	3.5	2.1
	2.43	3.8	2.46
	2.68	3.72	2.22	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.4
	2.55	3.96	2.29	Watch
	2.45	3.8	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.63)	3.71 ↑ (3.37)	2.24 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań 2
35.4%

Draw
24.3%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
40.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

26.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

25.8%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań 2 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Jakobczyk K. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Mikita P. ⚽,
34', Szymczak W. 🟥,
45', 1 - 2, Ratajczak P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 3, Mikita P. ⚽,
73', 2 - 3, (Own goal),

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 1st in the Promotion - Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech 2 won 3.

In recent outings, Lech 2 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Środa Wielkopolska is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Lech 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Środa Wielkopolska is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Lech 2 has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 18:10 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lech 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:7 goals (averaging 1.7:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sroda	14	10	4	0	38:18	20	34
6	Lech Poznan II	13	6	3	4	28:26	2	21

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.06%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań 2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.10.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Wda Świecie	1:4 ✺
10.10.26	KKS Kalisz - Lech Poznań 2	2:4 ✺
19.09.26	Elana Toruń - Lech Poznań 2	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Noteć Czarnków	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTWT
- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.10.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Kluczevia Stargard	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Wda Świecie - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:4 ✺
26.09.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Elana Toruń	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Noteć Czarnków - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Unia Swarzędz	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.03.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1
31.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	1:4
02.05.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1
04.10.24	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	1:3
Club Friendly
14.02.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:0
Polish Division 3 - Group II
18.04.19	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	1:1
16.09.18	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	4:1

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