Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Broń Radom

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.6	2.95
	1.9	3.65	3.2
	1.95	3.6	3.24	Watch
	2.3	3.65	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.23)	3.63 ↑ (3.5)	3.02 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
44.8%

Draw
25.1%

Broń Radom
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

25.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

24.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Broń Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Broń Radom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Chwalowski D. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Pieczarka E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, Jakubczyk P. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tomaszów Mazowiecki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.09.25	Wikielec - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Warta Sieradz - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Wasilków	5:0 ✺
16.08.25	Znicz Biała Piska - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLWW
- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.09.25	Broń Radom - Wigry Suwałki	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	ŁKS Łomża - Broń Radom	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Broń Radom - Widzew Łódź II	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Wikielec - Broń Radom	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Broń Radom - Wisła Płock II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.05.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	2:2
11.10.24	Broń Radom - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:0
29.03.24	Broń Radom - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:2
01.09.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	4:0
17.06.23	Broń Radom - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:4
20.11.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	3:1
12.03.22	Broń Radom - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1

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