Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 15

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Sokół Ostróda

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	3.8
	1.7	3.9	3.7
	1.7	3.85	3.8
	1.7	3.89	3.71
	1.73	3.84	3.84	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.75)	3.81 ↑ (3.75)	3.7 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
52%

Draw
23.6%

Sokół Ostróda
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

23.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sokół Ostróda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 2.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Ostróda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tomaszów Mazowiecki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.10.22	Błonianka Błonie - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:0 ✺
08.10.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legionovia Legionowo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWTT
- Sokół Ostróda
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.10.22	Sokół Ostróda - Pelikan Łowicz	4:1 ✺
22.10.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Sokół Ostróda - Jagiellonia II Białystok	3:2 ✺
08.10.22	Legionovia Legionowo - Sokół Ostróda	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Sokół Ostróda - Unia Skierniewice	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.03.20	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	2:1
10.08.19	Sokół Ostróda - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:0
19.04.19	Sokół Ostróda - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1
05.09.18	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	0:0
18.05.18	Sokół Ostróda - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:1
15.10.17	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	1:0
11.03.17	Sokół Ostróda - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:0

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