Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Troszyn

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.90	3.60
	1.70	3.85	3.70
	1.75	3.89	3.51
	1.77	4.03	3.58	Watch
	1.73	3.85	3.45
	1.71	3.90	3.85	Watch
	1.59	3.69	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.59)	3.87 ↑ (3.69)	3.72 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
52.6%

Draw
23.2%

Troszyn
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Troszyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troszyn than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Troszyn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Troszyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Ciach A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, Brudko F. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Troszyn is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Tomaszów Mazowiecki is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	T. Mazowiecki	11	4	1	6	21:23	-2	13
17	Troszyn	10	1	4	5	12:24	-12	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź II	4:3 ✺
19.08.26	Mławianka Mława - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
14.08.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	5:2 ✺
31.07.26	Weszło - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWWL
- KS CK Troszyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.08.26	Troszyn - Weszło	3:3 ✺
23.08.26	Pelikan Łowicz - Troszyn	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Troszyn - Warta Sieradz	1:4 ✺
14.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - Troszyn	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Troszyn - Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Troszyn - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	4:1
24.10.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Troszyn	1:2

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