The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lee Man 37.9%
Draw 26.5%
Kitchee 35.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.7%
27.6%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
27.4%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lee Man has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Kitchee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lee Man than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchee than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Lee Man - Kitchee Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Chan K. (G) 5. Chan Y. T. 77. Gigauri M. 11. Ichikawa S. 10. Kraev B. 19. Luis Phelipe 4. Tachibana R. 22. Tsang Y. E. 44. Tursunov D. 6. Wu C. R. (C) 14. Yu Joy-yin
17. Pong C. (G) 22. Beattie C. 15. Camarasa V. 18. Camargo E. 6. Haddow J. 5. Illarramendi A. 14. Kam Chi-Kin. J. 7. Mingazov R. 9. Revilla A. 3. Riera R. 16. Tan Chun-Lok (C)
Substitutes
7. Baffoe N. 36. Bau H. Y. H. 37. Chan Y. 80. Chung Wai-Keung 30. Hui S. 27. Lau Yu-Ho 1. Leung Hing-Kit (G) 33. Lo K. F. (G) 8. Martinez B. 16. Ngan Lok-Fung 99. Udebuluzor M. 31. Yung H. T.
37. Chan Shing-Chun 8. Cheng Chin-Lung 42. Cheung Y. 43. Chung L. K. 30. Juninho 11. Kanda Y. 27. Lam Lok-Kan J. 40. Li Siu-Hin 21. Obieta K. 56. Sephrey Ma Lok 23. Shek T. (G) 47. Yu Ching-Wai
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Kraev B. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Revilla A. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Riera R. ⚽,
40', Gigauri M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 1 - 3, Camargo E. ⚽,
56', Riera R. 🟨,
59', 1 - 4, Mingazov R. ⚽,
60', Yu Joy-yin ↓, Baffoe N. ↑,
66', 1 - 5, Camargo E. ⚽,
70', Illarramendi A. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
73', Chan Y. T. ↓, Chung Wai-Keung ↑,
74', Mingazov R. ↓, Juninho ↑,
77', Revilla A. ↓, Chan Shing-Chun ↑,
77', Camargo E. ↓, Lam Lok-Kan J. ↑,
89', Baffoe N. 🟥,
89', Haddow J. 🟨,
90+3', Juninho 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lee Man won 2.
Lee Man has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Kitchee has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kitchee may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lee Man has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:30 (averaging 1.7:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lee Man against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 18:13 goals (averaging 2.3:1.6 per game).