The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southern District 12.8%
Draw 17.9%
Kitchee 69.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20%
20.7%
59.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southern District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southern District's form might have worsened.
Kitchee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kitchee's recent form is better than expected.
Southern District - Kitchee Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ng W. H. (G) 16. Chak Ting-Fung 3. Fabio Erins 22. Golubovic S. 6. Igor Cesar 18. Inoue T. 4. Kawase K. 12. Lai K. 9. Poon Pui-Hin 11. Sasaki S. (C) 10. Wong Ho-Chun Anson
17. Pong C. (G) 22. Beattie C. 8. Cheng Chin-Lung 20. Dudu 6. Haddow J. 5. Illarramendi A. 30. Juninho 10. Kendy 7. Mingazov R. (C) 9. Revilla A. 3. Riera R.
Substitutes
99. Cheng Tsz-Sum 24. Cheung P. 19. Chong T. A. 77. Hon Shing-Wing 32. Hui P. A. (G) 14. Lee C. 8. Lee Ka-Yiu 33. Lucas Agueiro 31. Ngan N. S. (G) 7. Stefan
15. Camarasa V. 18. Camargo E. 37. Chan Shing-Chun 14. Kam Chi-Kin. J. 27. Lam Lok-Kan J. 41. Lam P. 21. Obieta K. 23. Shek T. (G) 16. Tan Chun-Lok 47. Yu Ching-Wai
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', Chak Ting-Fung 🟨,
24', Juninho 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Mingazov R. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Juninho ⚽,
44', Wong Ho-Chun Anson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mingazov R. ↓, Camarasa V. ↑,
46', Juninho ↓, Camargo E. ↑,
46', Cheng Chin-Lung ↓, Lam Lok-Kan J. ↑,
46', Wong Ho-Chun Anson ↓, Cheng Tsz-Sum ↑,
56', Igor Cesar ↓, Lucas Agueiro ↑,
59', Dudu ↓, Kam Chi-Kin. J. ↑,
67', Kawase K. ↓, Stefan ↑,
71', Illarramendi A. ↓, Tan Chun-Lok ↑,
78', Camarasa V. 🟨,
84', Poon Pui-Hin ↓, Lee Ka-Yiu ↑,
87', 0 - 3, Revilla A. ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, Golubovic S. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southern District won 0.
Kitchee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Kitchee is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Southern District won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:54. (average 0.9:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Southern District won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:31. (average 1:3.1).