Match Info

Premier League 2

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: LNER Community Stadium (York)

Referee: Scholes M. (Eng)


	Leeds United U21		Manchester United U21

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.95	1.38
	5.62	5.89	1.37
	5.34	5.5	1.43	Watch
	5	5	1.36
	4.95	5.21	1.48	Watch
	4.33	4.75	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (4.6)	5.22 ↑ (4.53)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United U21
17.9%

Draw
17.6%

Manchester United U21
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

20.5%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

19.9%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Manchester United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester United U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Leeds United U21 - Manchester United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cairns A. (G) 5. Howard J. 6. Cresswell A. (C) 4. Lienou J. 2. Lane F. 8. Crew C. 10. Pickles O. 3. Philpott L. 7. Chambers S. 11. Chadwick-Chaplin R. 9. Vincent H.	1. Murdock W. (G) 2. Jackson L. 4. Fredricson T. (C) 5. Kukonki G. 3. Aljofree S. 8. Moorhouse J. 6. Fletcher T. 10. Fletcher J. 7. Lacey S. 9. Obi C. 11. Musa V.
Substitutes
14. Alker S. 17. Dudley L. 12. Kenyon G. (G) 15. Mills C. 16. Njinko C.	14. Armer D. 13. Byrne-Hughes C. (G) 16. Lusale S. 15. McAllister F. 12. Overy J.
Coaches
Gardner S.	Lawrence A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Fletcher J. ⚽, Lacey S. (A),
30', Aljofree S. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Fletcher J. ⚽, Moorhouse J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fredricson T. ↓, Armer D. ↑,
46', Chambers S. ↓, Alker S. ↑,
46', Howard J. ↓, Mills C. ↑,
62', Lane F. ↓, Dudley L. ↑,
63', Lacey S. ↓, McAllister F. ↑,
65', Chadwick-Chaplin R. ↓, Njinko C. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Philpott L. ⚽, Mills C. (A),
70', Moorhouse J. ↓, Lusale S. ↑,
85', Fletcher J. 🟨,
85', Obi C. ↓, Overy J. ↑,
90+4', Dudley L. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Leeds U21 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Man Utd U21 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Man Utd U21 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Man Utd U21 will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leeds U21 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Leeds U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Manchester Utd U21	3	3	0	0	12:3	9	9
10	Leeds U21	4	2	1	1	11:9	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United U21
English Premier League 2
20.03.26	Southampton U21 - Leeds United U21	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Leeds United U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Sunderland U21 - Leeds United U21	5:2 ✺
28.02.26	Leeds United U21 - West Ham United U21	1:3 ✺
20.02.26	Chelsea U21 - Leeds United U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLLT
- Manchester United U21
English Premier League 2
20.03.26	Reading U21 - Manchester United U21	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Manchester United U21 - Southampton U21	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Birmingham City U21 - Manchester United U21	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Manchester United U21 - Chelsea U21	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Leicester City U21 - Manchester United U21	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
28.03.25	Leeds United U21 - Manchester United U21	2:2
18.08.23	Manchester United U21 - Leeds United U21	1:2

Leeds United U21 - Manchester United U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide