Match Info

Premier League 2

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Staplewood Training Ground (Southampton)

Referee: Johnson P. (Eng)


	Southampton U21		Leeds United U21

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.55	4.85
	1.52	5.01	4.5
	1.43	4.76	6.21	Watch
	1.5	4.4	4.5
	1.46	4.7	4.91	Watch
	1.37	4.7	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.37)	4.69 ↓ (4.7)	5.12 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton U21
62.7%

Draw
19.5%

Leeds United U21
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

19.1%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

18.5%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Leeds United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Southampton U21 - Leeds United U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fisher H. (G) 6. Okonola A. 27. Kayi Sanda J. (C) 4. Moore J. 8. Sesay M. 18. Daley A. 24. O'Brien-Whitmarsh J. 17. Rohart-Brown T. 29. Kakay S. 21. Merry W. 20. Gathercole H.	1. Cook R. (G) 2. Dudley L. 5. Howard J. 6. Matykiewicz L. 3. Lienou J. 8. Crew C. 4. Pickles O. 7. Cresswell A. (C) 10. Ibrovic-Fletcher E. 11. Chadwick-Chaplin R. 9. Mills C.
Substitutes
2. Adjei Afriyie H. 19. Mcmullan K. 16. Nutter W. 14. Tabares S. 28. Whittaker R.	15. Alker S. 12. Kenyon G. (G) 17. Njinko C. 14. Philpott L. 16. Whitehead L.
Coaches
Lallana A.	Gardner S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', O'Brien-Whitmarsh J. ↓, Nutter W. ↑,
30', Kakay S. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Gathercole H. ⚽, Daley A. (A),
41', 2 - 0, Daley A. ⚽,
42', Lienou J. ↓, Philpott L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Howard J. 🟨,
61', Ibrovic-Fletcher E. ↓, Njinko C. ↑,
63', Mills C. 🟨,
65', Matykiewicz L. 🟨,
66', Kakay S. ↓, Adjei Afriyie H. ↑,
73', Howard J. ↓, Whitehead L. ↑,
75', Okonola A. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Chadwick-Chaplin R. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Nutter W. ↓, Mcmullan K. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 23).

In recent matches, S`hampton U21 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leeds U21's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, S`hampton U21 is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, S`hampton U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1.5:4).

Including home match between the teams, S`hampton U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Southampton U21	4	3	1	0	7:2	5	10
10	Leeds U21	4	2	1	1	11:9	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton U21
English Premier League 2
13.03.26	Manchester United U21 - Southampton U21	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Nottingham Forest U21 - Southampton U21	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Southampton U21 - Everton U21	2:2 ✺
20.02.26	Southampton U21 - Middlesbrough U21	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Norwich City U21 - Southampton U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTWT
- Leeds United U21
English Premier League 2
16.03.26	Leeds United U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Sunderland U21 - Leeds United U21	5:2 ✺
28.02.26	Leeds United U21 - West Ham United U21	1:3 ✺
20.02.26	Chelsea U21 - Leeds United U21	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Manchester City U21 - Leeds United U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
24.02.23	Southampton U21 - Leeds United U21	1:2
16.09.22	Leeds United U21 - Southampton U21	6:2

Southampton U21 - Leeds United U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide