Match Info

Premier League International Cup

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Leeds United U21		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	4.09	4.37	1.63
	3.34	4.41	1.82	Watch
	2.72	4	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.63)	4.26 ↑ (3.99)	1.84 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United U21
27.6%

Draw
21.9%

Sporting Lisbon B
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

22.4%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

22.3%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leeds United U21's form might have worsened.

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United U21 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leeds United U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leeds United U21 - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Sporting B (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Sporting B (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting B (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Momade R. ⚽, Camacho R. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Vincent H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 1, Lopata-White R. ⚽, Render J. (A),

Preview

Recent performances by Leeds U21 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sporting B is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Leeds U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Leeds U21 has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United U21
English Premier League 2
22.09.25	Crystal Palace U21 - Leeds United U21	3:2 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Scunthorpe United - Leeds United U21	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Port Vale - Leeds United U21	4:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.08.25	Burnley U21 - Leeds United U21	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Leeds United U21 - Ipswich Town U21	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWL
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 2
14.09.25	Portimonense - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Paços de Ferreira	3:0 ✺
24.08.25	Oliveirense - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Torreense - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWLWW

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