Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Jesus F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Leixões		Sporting Lisbon B

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.22	3	3.3
	2.33	3.05	3.71
	30.00	17.73	1.00	Watch
	2.17	3.23	3.34	Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.22 ↑ (2.23)	5.19 ↑ (3.29)	2.89 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
23%

Draw
27.6%

Sporting Lisbon B
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leixões's form might have worsened.

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leixões, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Leixões - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sporting B will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morro M. (G) 3. Figueiredo L. 5. Naldo 4. Rafael Santos 77. Paulinho 22. Araujo C. 8. Neto (C) 15. Simaozinho 9. Bica 35. Rochez B. 7. Werton	41. Diego Callai (G) 45. Moreira D. 43. Muniz J. 50. Dias R. 55. Silva J. 77. Besugo R. 96. Justo S. 70. Blopa S. 88. Mendonca M. (C) 90. Nel R. 28. Ribeiro R.
Substitutes
11. Agra S. 14. Diaz L. 36. Dodo D. 13. Evrard Zag 18. Kanuric B. 19. Moshood M. 10. Paulite 51. Stefanovic I. (G) 91. Valente R.	98. Camacho R. 87. Cardoso P. 58. Goncalves F. 59. Kaua Oliveira 61. Momade R. 74. Pires G. (G) 46. Rafael Pontelo 49. Romulus 82. Silva G.
Coaches
Fonseca J. N.	Joao Giao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Ribeiro R. ⚽, Mendonca M. (A),
22', Stefanovic I. 🟨,
24', 0 - 2, Silva J. ⚽, Ribeiro R. (A),
45', Neto 🟨,
45', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Araujo C. ↓, Dodo D. ↑,
46', Naldo ↓, Agra S. ↑,
48', 0 - 3, Nel R. ⚽, Blopa S. (A),
58', 0 - 4, Nel R. (Pen),
59', Neto ↓, Valente R. ↑,
59', Bica ↓, Evrard Zag ↑,
64', Nel R. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
64', Besugo R. ↓, Kaua Oliveira ↑,
65', Blopa S. ↓, Camacho R. ↑,
67', Rochez B. ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
70', Ribeiro R. ↓, Goncalves F. ↑,
76', Silva J. ↓, Rafael Pontelo ↑,
83', Muniz J. 🟨,
90+4', Cardoso P. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
26.09.25	Vizela - Leixões	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Naval - Leixões	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.25	Leixões - Farense	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Feirense - Leixões	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Leixões - Penafiel	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW
- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 2
27.09.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Marítimo	0:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
25.09.25	Leeds United U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
14.09.25	Portimonense - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Paços de Ferreira	3:0 ✺
24.08.25	Oliveirense - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
18.03.18	Leixões - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1
29.10.17	Sporting Lisbon B - Leixões	1:1
19.03.17	Leixões - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2
23.10.16	Sporting Lisbon B - Leixões	2:1
17.02.16	Leixões - Sporting Lisbon B	3:1
16.09.15	Sporting Lisbon B - Leixões	3:1
04.04.15	Sporting Lisbon B - Leixões	3:1

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