Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 2

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira (Alcochete)

Referee: Brazao M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon B		Leiria

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.45
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.82	3.2	2.45
	2.8	3.35	2.69
	3.16	3.12	2.31	Watch
	2.8	3	2.4
	2.91	3.26	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.25)	3.16 ↓ (3.34)	2.43 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon B
32.7%

Draw
29.3%

Leiria
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.8%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon B's form might have worsened.

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leiria's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	42.9%	57.1%

Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Leiria (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Diego Callai (G) 54. Bruno Ramos 43. Muniz J. 45. Moreira D. 55. Silva J. 60. Rayan Lucas 96. Justo S. 70. Blopa S. 78. Couto M. 28. Ribeiro R. 88. Mendonca M. (C)	98. Joao Bravim (G) 68. Maga 16. Ze Pedro 5. Rofino V. G. 15. Silva J. 11. Jair da Silva 8. Kouassi E. 20. Gomes B. 52. Sylla H. 9. Munoz J. (C) 19. Fernandez P.
Substitutes
67. Anjos L. 77. Besugo R. 87. Cardoso P. 50. Dias R. 73. Felicissimo E. 58. Goncalves F. 74. Pires G. (G) 46. Rafael Pontelo 82. Silva G.	25. Amado D. 3. Baro M. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 41. Daniel Borges 17. Lucho Vega 72. Oliveira V. 6. Rodriguez G. 10. van der Gaag J. 14. Ze Vitor
Coaches
Joao Giao	Pereira F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Justo S. 🟨,
17', Kouassi E. 🟨,
42', Munoz J. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Couto M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gomes B. ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
46', Rayan Lucas 🟨,
50', Moreira D. 🟨,
61', Couto M. 🟨,
62', Maga 🟨,
65', Kouassi E. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
65', Maga ↓, Baro M. ↑,
70', Sylla H. 🟨,
72', Ribeiro R. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
76', Mendonca M. ↓, Goncalves F. ↑,
76', Moreira D. ↓, Dias R. ↑,
77', Rayan Lucas ↓, Felicissimo E. ↑,
88', Couto M. ↓, Besugo R. ↑,
90+1', Goncalves F. 🟨,

Preview

Leiria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sporting B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sporting B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Leiria - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.96%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 2
09.08.25	Torreense - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
17.05.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Amarante	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Fafe - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Varzim	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	1 Dezembro - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WWWWT
- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
10.08.25	Leiria - Académico de Viseu	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.25	Leiria - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Farense - Leiria	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Cádiz - Leiria	1:5 ✺
13.07.25	Ceuta - Leiria	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
18.02.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria	0:1
06.11.22	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B	1:0
11.02.22	Leiria - Sporting Lisbon B	3:1
07.11.21	Sporting Lisbon B - Leiria	0:2

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