Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 28

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Leganés B		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.9	2.5
	2.7	3	2.55
				Watch
	2.72	3.1	2.64
	2.7	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.3)	3 ↓ (3.35)	2.56 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés B
33.9%

Draw
30.4%

Alcalá
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.8%

27.3%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.5%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leganés B's performance.

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcalá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leganés B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcalá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leganés B - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leganés B won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Leganés B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leganés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.03.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Leganés B	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Leganés B - Cala Pozuelo	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Leganés B - Tres Cantos	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	Carabanchel - Leganés B	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Leganés B - El Álamo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWTT
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.03.25	Alcalá - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Carabanchel - Alcalá	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Alcalá - El Álamo	4:1 ✺
01.03.25	Collado Villalba - Alcalá	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Alcalá - Galapagar	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
17.11.24	Alcalá - Leganés B	1:0
28.01.24	Alcalá - Leganés B	2:2
10.09.23	Leganés B - Alcalá	1:0
24.03.19	Leganés B - Alcalá	3:1
04.11.18	Alcalá - Leganés B	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
11.02.18	Alcalá - Leganés B	2:1
17.09.17	Leganés B - Alcalá	2:2

Leganés B - Alcalá