Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday


	Leganés B		Moratalaz

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.25	4.2
	1.83	2.85	4.7
	1.83	2.83	4.92
	1.84	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.69)	3.08 ↓ (3.6)	4.46 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés B
50.4%

Draw
29.3%

Moratalaz
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

25.6%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

21.8%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Moratalaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leganés B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moratalaz than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Leganés B - Moratalaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Leganés B in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Moratalaz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leganés B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Moratalaz have a series of home games.

In this match Leganés B is a favorite.

Moratalaz is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Last 2 head-to-head matches Leganés B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leganés B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
28.03.21	Leganés B - Alcorcón B	2:1 ✺
21.03.21	El Álamo - Leganés B	2:4 ✺
10.03.21	Parla - Leganés B	1:2 ✺
07.03.21	Leganés B - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
03.03.21	Móstoles CF - Leganés B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- ED Moratalaz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.04.21	Moratalaz - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
28.03.21	Unión Adarve - Moratalaz	3:1 ✺
24.03.21	Moratalaz - Santa Ana	3:0 ✺
21.03.21	Moratalaz - Flat Earth	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Moratalaz - Complutense Alcalá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
12.01.20	Moratalaz - Leganés B	3:4
24.08.19	Leganés B - Moratalaz	0:0

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