Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 27

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday


	Legia II		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.43	2.06
	2.98	3.43	2.07
	3	3.59	2.13	Watch
	2.6	3.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.65)	3.5 (3.5)	2.13 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia II
31.4%

Draw
25.9%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

25.8%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Legia II - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Tobiasz K. (Own goal),
17', 1 - 1, Gieroba S. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Adkonis J. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 3 - 1, Vasiliadis M. ⚽,
76', 4 - 1, Vasiliadis M. ⚽,
89', 4 - 2, Lis J. ⚽,
90', 4 - 3, Odolak K. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Legia II won 1.

Recent matches Legia II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Legia II won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Legia II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.04.24	Unia Skierniewice - Legia II	4:0 ✺
14.04.24	Legia II - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Legia II	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Legia II - Mławianka Mława	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Concordia Elbląg - Legia II	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTWT
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
20.04.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	4:1 ✺
13.04.24	GKS Bełchatów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:0 ✺
30.03.24	Legionovia Legionowo - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wikielec	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.09.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Legia II	1:1
04.03.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Legia II	0:2
06.08.22	Legia II - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1
20.06.21	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Legia II	5:0
12.05.21	Legia II - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:4
Club Friendly
20.02.21	Legia II - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:0
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.09.20	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Legia II	4:0

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