Match Info

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday ⏱️ In 2d 12h 📅 Remind Me


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.05	3.5	3.05
	2.1	3.8	3.18
	2.1	3.66	3.12	Watch
	2.05	3.55	3.1
	2.08	3.5	2.95
	2	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.11)	3.56 ↓ (3.58)	3.07 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
44.4%

Draw
25.7%

Stal Mielec
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25.7%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

24.2%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Mielec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Grodzisk Mazowiecki has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Stal Mielec is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Grodzisk Mazowiecki holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Grodzisk Mazowiecki has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Grodzisk Mazowiecki against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Stal Mielec	12	3	4	5	16:27	-11	13

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Stal Mielec: 0.4%

Last Results with these Odds

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.57%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Stal Mielec - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.7%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 1
25.10.26	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:0 ✺
17.10.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Polonia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Chrobry Głogów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	7:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
19.09.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łódź	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWLW
- Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1
24.10.26	Stal Mielec - Chrobry Głogów	0:0 ✺
17.10.26	Miedź Legnica - Stal Mielec	3:0 ✺
11.10.26	Stal Mielec - Warta Poznań	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec	7:1 ✺
14.09.26	Stal Mielec - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
06.04.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Mielec	1:2
19.09.25	Stal Mielec - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Stal Mielec