Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 26

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Olimpia Zambrów

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.6	5.25
	1.43	4.46	6.33	Watch
	1.35	4.5	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.35)	4.52 ↑ (4.5)	6.11 ↓ (7.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
65%

Draw
20.1%

Olimpia Zambrów
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

20.2%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

19.3%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Olimpia Zambrów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (-3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Gajgier A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Bayer B. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Zinkewycz O. ⚽,
85', 3 - 1, Odolak K. ⚽,
90', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zambrów is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.04.24	GKS Bełchatów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:0 ✺
30.03.24	Legionovia Legionowo - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:3 ✺
23.03.24	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Wikielec	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	Warta Sieradz - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWW
- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.04.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Unia Skierniewice	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Olimpia Zambrów	0:5 ✺
30.03.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Mławianka Mława - Olimpia Zambrów	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Olimpia Zambrów - Concordia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.09.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:3
25.03.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:5
21.08.22	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	2:2
17.10.20	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	2:1
26.10.19	Olimpia Zambrów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2

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