Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Legia Warsaw		Trenčín

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	4.90	6.00
	1.28	5.21	7.36
	1.51	4.38	5.22	Watch
	1.23	5.10	6.60
	1.28	5.50	9.55	Watch
	1.28	5.00	7.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.35)	5.02 ↑ (4.8)	7.02 ↓ (7.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
68.9%

Draw
18.2%

Trenčín
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

19.1%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

18%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

The chances for Trenčín have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trenčín than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Legia Warsaw - Trenčín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Hindrich O. (G) . Adamski R. . Arreiol H. . Augustyniak R. . Kapustka B. . Piatkowski K. . Reca A. . Szczepaniak M. . Vinagre R. . Wszolek P. . Zjawinski L.	. Katic A. (G) . Bangs N. . Diouf P. . Hajovsky T. . Jepihhin D. . Jovanovic N. . Krizan R. . Mikulaj L. . Poom M. . Skovajsa L. . Zirkzee J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Reca A. 🟨,
61', 🟨,
64', 🟨,
77', 1 - 0, Rajovic M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Legia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Trenčín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trenčín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Legia is the clear favorite.

We predict that Legia will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Legia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Legia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Club Friendly
07.07.26	Legia Warsaw - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:1 ✺
02.07.26	Nürnberg - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	Bayern Munich II - Legia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Motor Lublin	4:0 ✺
17.05.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWW
- FK AS Trenčín
Club Friendly
07.07.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Trenčín	1:1 ✺
03.07.26	Trenčín - Inter Bratislava	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Trenčín - Zlín	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Trenčín - Petrzalka	4:2 ✺
20.06.26	Slovan Bratislava II - Trenčín	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
03.08.16	Legia Warsaw - Trenčín	0:0
27.07.16	Trenčín - Legia Warsaw	0:1

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