Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday


	Legia Warsaw		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.60	3.10
	1.95	3.6	3.18
	1.75	3.86	3.91
	1.93	3.48	3.15
	1.98	3.65	3.44	Watch
	2.45	3.21	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.45)	3.57 ↑ (3.21)	3.21 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
45.9%

Draw
25.6%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.8%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.3%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.

Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Beer Sheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Beer Sheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Legia Warsaw - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

Legia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Hapoel Beer Sheva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Legia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Legia has had a series of away games.

Legia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Club Friendly
02.07.26	Nürnberg - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	Bayern Munich II - Legia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
23.05.26	Legia Warsaw - Motor Lublin	4:0 ✺
17.05.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Legia Warsaw	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWWW
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Club Friendly
05.07.26	Omonia - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:2 ✺
01.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
26.05.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
23.05.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Haifa	2:5 ✺
19.05.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLLW

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