Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 11

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday


	Legionovia Legionowo		Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.4
	2.31	3.66	2.38
	2.38	3.52	2.52	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.95)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	2.48 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legionovia Legionowo
38.6%

Draw
25.3%

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

25.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legionovia Legionowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legionovia Legionowo's performance.

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legionovia Legionowo than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legionovia Legionowo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Legionovia Legionowo - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Legionowo won 2.

Recent matches Legionowo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Legionowo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tomaszów Mazowiecki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Legionowo won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Legionowo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Legionovia Legionowo
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.09.23	Wikielec - Legionovia Legionowo	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Warta Sieradz	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Victoria Sulejówek - Legionovia Legionowo	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Legionovia Legionowo - ŁKS Łomża	3:0 ✺
02.09.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Legionovia Legionowo	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL
- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.09.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Wikielec - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
09.09.23	Warta Sieradz - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
01.09.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.05.23	Legionovia Legionowo - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:0
01.10.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legionovia Legionowo	1:1
09.04.22	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legionovia Legionowo	0:0
04.09.21	Legionovia Legionowo - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:1
29.11.20	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legionovia Legionowo	2:2
09.06.19	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Legionovia Legionowo	1:6
27.10.18	Legionovia Legionowo - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:0

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