Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 8

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki		Concordia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.46	5.94
	1.4	4.6	6.45	Watch
	1.45	4.25	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	4.44 ↑ (4.25)	5.93 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
64.2%

Draw
20.5%

Concordia Elbląg
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

21.4%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20.2%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Concordia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concordia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 4.

Tomaszów Mazowiecki is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Concordia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tomaszów Mazowiecki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tomaszów Mazowiecki is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tomaszów Mazowiecki to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Tomaszów Mazowiecki won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
09.09.23	Warta Sieradz - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
01.09.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	4:0 ✺
27.08.23	Victoria Sulejówek - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
23.08.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pelikan Łowicz	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	ŁKS Łomża - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW
- Concordia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.09.23	Broń Radom - Concordia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
02.09.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Legia II - Concordia Elbląg	5:0 ✺
23.08.23	Concordia Elbląg - Olimpia Zambrów	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	GKS Bełchatów - Concordia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.04.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	1:0
10.09.22	Concordia Elbląg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:3
03.04.21	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	2:1
21.11.20	Concordia Elbląg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:0
24.11.19	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	2:0
03.08.19	Concordia Elbląg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:0
14.04.17	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	1:3

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